Showing posts with label Milton Friedman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Milton Friedman. Show all posts

Friday, August 3, 2018

The Libertarian Case for the Wall

A shorter version of this was published yesterday at The Federalist.

President Trump's campaign proposal for "The Wall" is front and center again, as he considers a government shutdown if it is not funded.  In the same week he takes to Twitter to challenge Charles and David Koch, who announce that they will fund some Democrats (not Libertarians?) challenging President Trump on policies like immigration or tariffs.

"Progressives" have been calling for unrestricted immigration, for abolishing ICE,  and for granting voting rights to illegal immigrants.  "Open borders" advocates decry opponents as racist.  Advocates of open borders on the Left - whose derangement in the face of Trump lead them to declare they will now "fight dirty" -  desire to import voters who will displace American voters who have recently taken over 1,000 offices away from the Democrats.

But there are others who are more rational and less anti-American: the libertarian - and usually Koch-funded - advocates of open borders.

Milton and Rose Friedman
It's not that you cannot easily find a libertarian who will accuse you of bigotry when you repeat Milton Friedman's observation that it is untenable to have both totally free immigration and a welfare state, since the impoverished billions of the world would simply move to the wealthiest countries they could enter and consume everything its citizens managed to produce.  You can also easily find libertarians who will assert, oddly one would think for a libertarian, that U.S. citizens deserve to be subjected to competition from illegal immigrants for jobs, education, and housing, and forced to pay taxes to fund both the relocation of and social services for immigrants, because the U.S. government or foreign policy establishment made their countries of origin violent and inhospitable.

But the major libertarian advocates of open borders - George Mason University economist Bryan Caplan, CATO Institute policy analyst Alex Nowrasteh, and Reason Foundation policy analyst Shikha Sood Dalmia - tend to "go high" when making their case(s), at least as compared to Democrat Party flaks arguing for amnesty, abolishing ICE, etc.  Their goal is a world with free immigration for all,  where every individual is, as libertarians wish to have it, the owner of his or her own body, life, time, and work, and may work where she wishes, go to school where he likes, support or not whichever union, church, or business she prefers, move to whatever state or city he chooses, and live in whatever country she desires.  (Though they rarely argue for or are concerned with reciprocity, where a U.S. citizen could easily move to or work in other countries.)  These libertarians would like to have the immigration policy the United States had in 1776.  "Progressive" open borders advocates often quote the poem of socialist Emma Lazarus that was added to the Statue of Liberty, about how America accepts the tired , the poor, and the huddled masses of the world.  Libertarians look to the actual Statue, and view freedom of movement as part of individual freedom, and not primarily a social service benefit for refugees from poverty and war.

Shikha Sood Dalmia
Besides the moral case - that all individuals have a right to freedom of movement - the libertarians also of course make the free market argument about the gains of (international) trade.  Just as allowing U.S. companies to import cheap Canadian lumber without tariffs allows U.S. consumers to have cheaper furniture and housing, and may even create more U.S. jobs in producing furniture, in construction, in making paper products, etc. than are lost in American lumber yards, allowing the U.S. economy to "import" cheap labor from south of the border allows at least some Americans to have cheaper landscaping, gardening, chicken processing, cleaning, and construction, and might create more jobs - say in managing or accounting at Perdue - in the businesses that use this cheap labor than the low wage American jobs lost.  Ms. Dalmia in a 2012 survey of policy studies reported that economists' estimates of the increase in U.S. GDP produced by immigrant labor was between $6 billion and $22 billion.  And Dalmia quotes Professor Caplan on how immigrant labor overall increases or has no effect on American wages, though it does specifically lower the wages of less skilled and less educated American workers.

Alex Nowrasteh
The fact that immigrant labor impacts different Americans differently illustrates the granularity of the impact immigration has in the economy.  In her survey Dalmia claims immigrants tend to move to states that do not have extensive welfare programs, minimizing the impact of immigrants on the taxpayer.  One could easily rephrase this, and ask a question about how libertarians (including Libertarians) can appeal to voters:  Why should working and middle class people in rural counties, the people who gave their Electoral College votes to Donald Trump and not Hillary Clinton (or Gary Johnson), be happy to vote for people supporting unrestricted immigration or amnesty for illegal immigrants, when these Americans have worked their whole lives to pay off mortgages to own a middle class home, a home which is now subjected to property taxes to pay for the day care (or warehousing) of illegal immigrant children (and the American born children of illegal immigrants), which is necessary for those immigrant workers to be able to take jobs in the local chicken processing plant?

Libertarian responses to this question have been deficient.  On social media, rank and file libertarians tend to argue that immigrants, even illegal immigrants, pay taxes too, even if just through their rent to their property tax paying landlords.  The average annual per child cost of an American public school is $12,000, though it can be as high as $29,000 in Washington, D.C., New York City, and other jurisdictions.  The idea that many immigrants - especially illegal immigrants, living crowded into low value, low tax assessment properties - pay anything like $12,000 annually in property (or other) taxes per child they warehouse in the local public school, as they must in order to be able to take a job, is prima facie ridiculous.  (Rank and file libertarians often go further into absurdity, arguing that many Americans never pay enough in taxes to cover the cost of the public schooling of their children - Dalmia says middle class people probably don't pay enough to cover the cost of three children so enrolled - so that if one opposes unrestricted immigration one must also believe in deporting underperforming Americans.)  Slightly over one fourth of the children in the United States are now either immigrants or the children of immigrants.  Since the total expenditures on public schooling in the U.S. is almost $700 billion, one fourth of this cost is far greater than the GDP gains cited by Ms. Dalmia, and also greater than the $50 billion price she cites for building and maintaining a wall on the U.S. Mexican border.  (It is also greater than the $104 billion spent on food stamps, the $46 billion spent section 8 and other housing programs, or the $30 billion spent on Aid to Families with Dependent Children (and related programs) for all American residents, citizen or non-citizen.)

Of course immigrants also use other taxpayer funded social services, but public education for all children residing in the U.S. is mandatory.  (In 18th and 19th century America, with open borders immigration policies libertarians favor, immigrant children were not legally excluded from the labor market or mandated a taxpayer supported public education.)  The libertarian CATO Institute regularly publishes on the welfare costs of immigrants, but in this area above all others its studies seem deeply flawed, claiming that immigrants use fewer social services than do native born Americans, a claim made in some cases by excluding public education from the accounting, or by including entitlements like Social Security and Medicare.  One CATO analyst, Daniel Griswold, makes a hand-waving argument that government spending on educating immigrant children is acceptable, since it pays for itself in their future productivity.  Besides not sounding very libertarian - the government centrally planning investment in (human) capital - Griswold assumes that the billions spent educating immigrant children and making them more productive would not increase productivity as much or more if they were instead used to provide American children with smaller class sizes or after school programs, or with capital investments in more advanced tools at their future jobs, etc.

A better libertarian immigration policy would do what libertarians are supposed to believe in:  protecting Americans from being subjected to force and fraud, to robbery and expropriation.  The United States is currently a welfare state.  Anyone in the United States who is a net tax consumer activates the government apparatus that has a gun aimed at and a jail cell (or a lien, fines, interest and penalties) waiting for every American who is a net tax payer.  The fact that we already have a population in which roughly half of American citizens are net tax consumers does not in any way justify imposing even more exploitation of individuals who are net tax payers by importing in tens or hundreds of millions of unskilled and impoverished people; indeed it makes it even more necessary to protect American taxpayers from more people exploiting them.  (If churches, synagogues, mosques or other voluntary associations want to pay for refugees, immigrants, or would-be migrants, either here or abroad, that is fine.)

In practice this has some similarities with "merit based" immigration proposals, but without the government deciding which professions, educational credentials, etc. are desirable.  Nor would this immigration policy have the federal government assigning quotas to countries, deciding what ratio of software developers from India, petroleum engineers from Nigeria, or wealthy investors from China should be given green cards.   Instead one would simply not be given a green card or a path to citizenship unless one's wealth and/or income insured that you would be paying at least as much in taxes as any social service expenditures you and your children trigger.  And people given any temporary guest worker Visas would not be allowed to bring their children with them; only childless immigrants or those who have family who can keep their children in their home countries would be given temporary Visas.

Libertarians will of course object that in denying a Honduran family the freedom to cross the U.S.-Mexican border you are limiting their freedom.  But in allowing them in you are forcing an American citizen to work to produce tens of thousands of dollars to pay for their childrens' schooling and other social services for their family.  What morality - and what electoral strategy - prioritizes the right of of a Honduran (who has already escaped violence in her homeland by fleeing to Mexico) to cross the U.S.-Mexican border, over the right of an American not to be subjected to forced labor to feed, house, and cloth that Honduran and her family?  This is a question libertarian open borders advocates in any political party cannot answer.




Sunday, July 15, 2018

Swedish lessons

Johan Norberg
Johan Norberg, a Swedish television journalist and policy analyst (imagine an intellectual Ryan Seacrest), has produced a documentary, Sweden: Lessons for America?, with the American non-profit Milton Friedman inspired group Free to Choose media.

Paradoxically, given Sweden's mythic status as an idyllic social democracy in the minds of many Americans, Norberg says the lessons learned are that the United States - if it wants to be a country with a highly literate, long-lived, healthy, wealthy population - should embrace the free market and become more libertarian.

Sweden has in the past two decades privatized the provision of most social services in its generous welfare state, for example shifting its entire education system to vouchers, which can be used at public or private schools, with parents able to send their children to any school, even in cities other than where they live.  Half of all schools are now private.


Anders Chydenius

Norberg also investigates how Sweden became wealthy before it created its welfare state in the 1950s:  it had more than a century of laissez faire liberalism, during which time it leapt from being one of the poorest countries with a population with relatively short lifespans to being the 4th wealthiest and one of the healthiest.  He unearths a heretofore little known (outside of Sweden) public intellectual, the pastor and journalist Anders Chydenius, who lived in the Swedish empire (in an area that is now Finland), and articulated ideas about competition, competitive advantage, and the gains of trade that were later made famous by Adam Smith.  Chydenius came up with these ideas first, but only promoted free markets (including granting private property to peasants) in the Swedish language, so that the English speaking world had to re-discover them later on its own.  To this day, though it has a variety of labor market regulations, Sweden has no minimum wage laws.

The documentary is timed, paced, and formatted perfectly for television.  School Inc., an earlier project by the Free to Choose group, on the school choice movement, caused gnashing of teeth by "progressives" and opponents of school choice who believe politically incorrect fare should be banned from PBS and other government funded media.

"Sweden: Lessons for America?" caused its own controversy this week as the opening entry into the libertarian film competition, the 8th Anthem Film Festival, part of the 17th FreedomFest conference held annually in Las Vegas, a kind of Burning Man for gold bugs who want to keep their clothes on and stay indoors.  In a Q&A panel afterwords, the Wall Street Journal's John Fund observed that the film avoided Sweden's response to mass immigration and what lesson America should be learning from that.  One audience member pointed out that there are now Swedish neighborhoods unsafe for a Jewish person to walk through, which another panelist hotly disputed.  (One of 22 films screened, "Sweden" did not win any of the prizes awarded.)

Both the Anthem Film Festival and FreedomFest, organized by hard money advocate and investment advice author Mark Skousen ran through Saturday night, with 2,000, older, well-healed, libertarian-leaning attendees.  C-Span's Peter Slen (as well as the internet channel ReasonTV) interviewed speakers at FreedomFest, who included Patrick Byrne, founder of Overstock.com, Steve Forbes, and keynote speaker George F. Will, Whole Foods founder John Mackey, former Governor Gary Johnson, and former Governor William Weld.  Fox News contributor John Stossel was replaced at the last minute, due to an accident resulting in a broken jaw, with a debate on the pros and cons of President Donald Trump, a repeat of a popular and hotly disputed panel held here in 2016.